Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 113.909517 130.827866 150.411300 174.999724 205.397172 242.216437 2.909302e+02
2025-03-16 88.500798 108.856287 134.828886 171.255299 222.494095 294.449061 4.080279e+02
2025-03-23 78.195358 100.796140 131.670431 178.646356 251.714805 367.768941 5.827378e+02
2025-03-30 67.558184 89.805464 121.613881 172.815565 258.447186 407.798626 7.230779e+02
2025-04-06 61.347775 83.819140 117.299258 174.087528 275.921045 471.062539 9.451684e+02
2025-04-13 56.032303 78.288949 112.595465 173.416860 289.319356 531.292279 1.205430e+03
2025-04-20 53.321586 76.280296 112.974909 181.246643 320.559430 642.254807 1.708461e+03
2025-04-27 51.970656 76.167515 116.322145 194.964030 367.981235 816.986843 2.673643e+03
2025-05-04 48.398687 72.008214 112.124851 193.322541 381.077905 909.395821 3.494793e+03
2025-05-11 45.819897 69.222741 109.962674 195.299991 403.395210 1044.054920 4.891588e+03
2025-05-18 42.886155 65.542622 105.715134 192.119049 411.828887 1139.991531 6.397321e+03
2025-05-25 40.630656 62.836205 102.964761 191.699000 427.672233 1276.377032 8.951315e+03
2025-06-01 38.522010 60.416300 100.888136 193.429492 453.558366 1493.549264 1.460141e+04
2025-06-08 35.942918 56.959849 96.471151 189.134439 461.032943 1645.357647 2.205032e+04
2025-06-15 34.891227 56.186277 97.284451 197.603829 513.193296 2105.194651 5.559094e+04
2025-06-22 32.574213 52.842927 92.438026 190.920856 511.284913 2252.206061 9.248769e+04
2025-06-29 31.183951 51.140157 90.832634 192.377770 540.070465 2668.542705 2.809203e+05
2025-07-06 29.743855 49.222256 88.553358 191.609516 560.535779 3079.542429 1.267894e+06
2025-07-13 29.150924 48.900750 89.698664 200.587714 626.360754 4120.969669 NaN
2025-07-20 29.018791 49.473678 92.901388 216.364236 734.653973 6251.327327 NaN
2025-07-27 27.757634 47.659491 90.425288 214.473242 757.080551 7342.722544 NaN
2025-08-03 26.842474 46.488436 89.333793 216.751366 803.964863 9327.790617 NaN
2025-08-10 25.660980 44.684071 86.559872 213.087349 816.314023 10735.373058 NaN